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CPI versus PCE

BLS CPI-U and BEA PCE headline 12-month percent change side by side. Two official definitions — not a cross-check. We keep score. We do not play.

Which inflation measure is right? TrackRecord does not choose. We keep score. We do not play. CPI and PCE are different official definitions. PCE is not a cross-check of CPI. As-of dates may differ by series — each print keeps its own date. Pack facts as of . Canonical: https://trackrecord.to/packs/cpi-vs-pce.

CPI-U versus PCE headline

Two official 12-month percent-change prints on one chart. Not a cross-check. Overlapping months listed below.

Print not yet on TrackRecord.

No overlapping CPI-U and PCE months are held yet.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U) and U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (PCE)

Divergence (computed facts)

No overlapping months held — divergence not computed.

Official definitions (facts)

Producer, basket, and weight source from each agency. CPI and PCE are different official definitions. PCE is not a cross-check of CPI.

Fact CPI-U PCE price index
Producer U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)
Series on this pack CPI-U all items, 12-month percent change (bls-cpi-u) PCE price index, 12-month percent change (bea-pce-pi); core = PCE excluding food and energy (bea-pce-core)
Basket scope Out-of-pocket expenditures of urban consumers (CPI-U population) Personal consumption expenditures in the National Income and Product Accounts (broader coverage than CPI-U)
Weight source BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey (CE) BEA NIPA source data (business surveys and administrative data feeding the PCE accounts)
Official table / page BLS CPI BEA PCE price index (NIPA Table 2.8.4)

Data atoms

Permanent observation URLs. Each series keeps its own as-of.

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    BLS CPI-U —% as of —; BEA PCE headline —% as of —. CPI and PCE are different official definitions. PCE is not a cross-check of CPI. via TrackRecord.
    BLS CPI-U —% as of —; BEA PCE headline —% as of —. CPI and PCE are different official definitions. PCE is not a cross-check of CPI. via TrackRecord.
https://trackrecord.to/packs/cpi-vs-pce

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