This week

CPI day

BLS CPI release desk. Prior official print versus the held current print — not market consensus. Official prints only.

Next CPI release

Next listed release: . Last listed release before today: .

Not a scheduled release day. Showing the last held release summary and the next listed calendar date.

Official schedule: BLS CPI news-release schedule. Dates are computed from the held schedule table — not hard-coded into this sentence.

Last release

Last held CPI-U print: 3.4 percent as of . Prior official print (naive baseline — not a BLS staff forecast, not market consensus): 3.5 percent as of . Change: -0.1 percentage points (Missed versus prior-print tolerance 0.05). BLS prior-print claims on this pack: 3 correct, 26 missed, 0 open (29 typed). As of . Compare methodology: CPI versus PCE. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI. Canonical: https://trackrecord.to/packs/cpi-day. Not a hit rate. Not market consensus. Creator Kit: /kit/us-inflation.

Prior print versus realized

Previous official CPI-U print as a naive baseline of the next held print (aligned on release as-of). Not a BLS staff forecast. Not market consensus.

  1. prior 2.6 percent → realized 2.7 percent · +0.1 percentage points · Missed
  2. prior 2.4 percent → realized 2.6 percent · +0.2 percentage points · Missed
  3. prior 2.5 percent → realized 2.4 percent · -0.1 percentage points · Missed
  4. prior 2.9 percent → realized 2.5 percent · -0.4 percentage points · Missed
  5. prior 3.0 percent → realized 2.9 percent · -0.1 percentage points · Missed
  6. prior 3.3 percent → realized 3.0 percent · -0.3 percentage points · Missed
  7. prior 3.4 percent → realized 3.3 percent · -0.1 percentage points · Missed
  8. prior 3.5 percent → realized 3.4 percent · -0.1 percentage points · Missed
  9. prior 3.2 percent → realized 3.5 percent · +0.3 percentage points · Missed
  10. prior 3.1 percent → realized 3.2 percent · +0.1 percentage points · Missed
19 earlier prior-versus-realized rows
  1. prior 3.5 percent → realized 3.4 percent · -0.1 percentage points · Missed
  2. prior 4.2 percent → realized 3.5 percent · -0.7 percentage points · Missed
  3. prior 3.8 percent → realized 4.2 percent · +0.4 percentage points · Missed
  4. prior 3.3 percent → realized 3.8 percent · +0.5 percentage points · Missed
  5. prior 2.4 percent → realized 3.3 percent · +0.9 percentage points · Missed
  6. prior 2.4 percent → realized 2.4 percent · 0.0 percentage points · Correct
  7. prior 2.7 percent → realized 2.4 percent · -0.3 percentage points · Missed
  8. prior 2.7 percent → realized 2.7 percent · 0.0 percentage points · Correct
  9. prior 3.0 percent → realized 2.7 percent · -0.3 percentage points · Missed
  10. prior 2.9 percent → realized 3.0 percent · +0.1 percentage points · Missed
  11. prior 2.7 percent → realized 2.9 percent · +0.2 percentage points · Missed
  12. prior 2.7 percent → realized 2.7 percent · 0.0 percentage points · Correct
  13. prior 2.4 percent → realized 2.7 percent · +0.3 percentage points · Missed
  14. prior 2.3 percent → realized 2.4 percent · +0.1 percentage points · Missed
  15. prior 2.4 percent → realized 2.3 percent · -0.1 percentage points · Missed
  16. prior 2.8 percent → realized 2.4 percent · -0.4 percentage points · Missed
  17. prior 3.0 percent → realized 2.8 percent · -0.2 percentage points · Missed
  18. prior 2.9 percent → realized 3.0 percent · +0.1 percentage points · Missed
  19. prior 2.7 percent → realized 2.9 percent · +0.2 percentage points · Missed

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI · as of · Verify observation · Verify evidence

Prior print versus realized (CPI-U)

Each row is the previous official CPI-U print as a naive forecast of the next held print. Not a BLS staff forecast. Not market consensus. Correct / missed use methodology tolerances. Not a hit rate.

29 prior-versus-realized rows
Prior as-of Prior print (baseline) Realized as-of Current held print Change Result
3.5 percent 3.4 percent -0.1 percentage points Missed
4.2 percent 3.5 percent -0.7 percentage points Missed
3.8 percent 4.2 percent +0.4 percentage points Missed
3.3 percent 3.8 percent +0.5 percentage points Missed
2.4 percent 3.3 percent +0.9 percentage points Missed
2.4 percent 2.4 percent 0.0 percentage points Correct
2.7 percent 2.4 percent -0.3 percentage points Missed
2.7 percent 2.7 percent 0.0 percentage points Correct
3.0 percent 2.7 percent -0.3 percentage points Missed
2.9 percent 3.0 percent +0.1 percentage points Missed
2.7 percent 2.9 percent +0.2 percentage points Missed
2.7 percent 2.7 percent 0.0 percentage points Correct
2.4 percent 2.7 percent +0.3 percentage points Missed
2.3 percent 2.4 percent +0.1 percentage points Missed
2.4 percent 2.3 percent -0.1 percentage points Missed
2.8 percent 2.4 percent -0.4 percentage points Missed
3.0 percent 2.8 percent -0.2 percentage points Missed
2.9 percent 3.0 percent +0.1 percentage points Missed
2.7 percent 2.9 percent +0.2 percentage points Missed
2.6 percent 2.7 percent +0.1 percentage points Missed
2.4 percent 2.6 percent +0.2 percentage points Missed
2.5 percent 2.4 percent -0.1 percentage points Missed
2.9 percent 2.5 percent -0.4 percentage points Missed
3.0 percent 2.9 percent -0.1 percentage points Missed
3.3 percent 3.0 percent -0.3 percentage points Missed
3.4 percent 3.3 percent -0.1 percentage points Missed
3.5 percent 3.4 percent -0.1 percentage points Missed
3.2 percent 3.5 percent +0.3 percentage points Missed
3.1 percent 3.2 percent +0.1 percentage points Missed

Data atoms

Permanent observation URLs and official claim sources. Computed facts and citations only.

  1. CPI-U as of 2026-07-01 · Series card · Verify
  2. Missed · prior baseline 2.4% · · Official source
  3. Missed · prior baseline 2.3% · · Official source
  4. Missed · prior baseline 2.4% · · Official source
  5. Correct · prior baseline 2.7% · · Official source
  6. Missed · prior baseline 2.7% · · Official source
  7. Missed · prior baseline 2.9% · · Official source
  8. Missed · prior baseline 3.0% · · Official source
  9. Correct · prior baseline 2.7% · · Official source
  10. Missed · prior baseline 2.7% · · Official source
  11. Correct · prior baseline 2.4% · · Official source
14 earlier atoms
  1. Missed · prior baseline 3.1% · · Official source
  2. Missed · prior baseline 3.2% · · Official source
  3. Missed · prior baseline 3.5% · · Official source
  4. Missed · prior baseline 3.4% · · Official source
  5. Missed · prior baseline 3.3% · · Official source
  6. Missed · prior baseline 3.0% · · Official source
  7. Missed · prior baseline 2.9% · · Official source
  8. Missed · prior baseline 2.5% · · Official source
  9. Missed · prior baseline 2.4% · · Official source
  10. Missed · prior baseline 2.6% · · Official source
  11. Missed · prior baseline 2.7% · · Official source
  12. Missed · prior baseline 2.9% · · Official source
  13. Missed · prior baseline 3.0% · · Official source
  14. Missed · prior baseline 2.8% · · Official source

Cite and embed

Paste the iframe on another website (height 220px). The parent page must reload to see a new print. via TrackRecord.

<iframe src="https://trackrecord.to/embed/v1/bls-cpi-u" title="CPI-U all items via TrackRecord" loading="lazy" style="width:100%;height:220px;border:0"></iframe>

Embed on another website

BLS CPI-U 3.4% as of 2026-07-01; prior print 3.5% as of 2026-06-01 (change -0.1 percentage points). Not market consensus. via TrackRecord.
BLS CPI-U 3.4% as of 2026-07-01; prior print 3.5% as of 2026-06-01 (change -0.1 percentage points). Not market consensus. via TrackRecord.
https://trackrecord.to/packs/cpi-day

via TrackRecord