IMF WEO

We keep score. We do not play. Official forecasts versus held Numbers. No hit-rate %.

Official forecast scoreboard hub · Methodology v0.1

Fewer than 20 expired scorable claims are held, so this page does not publish a hit rate.

12

Correct / missed / open counts. No hit-rate %.

0 correct 0 missed 12 open

By topic

  • US Interest Rates

    0 correct 0 missed 12 open

SCORING RECORD

Methodology v0.1 uses R1, R2, and R4. Full claim source URLs stay on this face.

imf.orgOpen source

Read the scoring methodology · All officials

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Claims

  • Open October 2025 IMF WEO: United States real GDP growth (NGDP_RPCH) for 2025 is 2.1 percent. · target 2.1 · imf.org
  • Open October 2025 IMF WEO: United States real GDP growth (NGDP_RPCH) for 2026 is 2.3 percent. · target 2.3 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States real GDP growth (NGDP_RPCH) for 2027 is 2.1 percent. · target 2.1 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States inflation (PCPIPCH) for 2026 is 3.2 percent. · target 3.2 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States inflation (PCPIPCH) for 2027 is 2.1 percent. · target 2.1 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States unemployment rate (LUR) for 2026 is 4.4 percent. · target 4.4 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States unemployment rate (LUR) for 2027 is 4.2 percent. · target 4.2 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States current account / GDP (BCA_NGDPD) for 2025 is -3.6 percent. · target -3.6 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States current account / GDP (BCA_NGDPD) for 2026 is -3.7 percent. · target -3.7 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States general government gross debt / GDP (GGXWDG_NGDP) for 2026 is 125.8 percent. · target 125.8 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States general government gross debt / GDP (GGXWDG_NGDP) for 2027 is 128.6 percent. · target 128.6 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States real GDP growth (NGDP_RPCH) for 2026 is 2.3 percent. · target 2.3 · imf.org

What this is

A scorekeeper for official forecasts we already hold as Numbers: FOMC SEP, the previous CPI and payroll prints versus the realized prints, and EIA STEO versus EIA surveys. We keep score. We do not play.

What this is not

  • Not a news extractor, dual-model claim pipeline, or TrackRecord forecast.
  • Not analyst gold, WTI, or Bitcoin targets.
  • Not a hit-rate ranking when fewer than 20 expired scorable claims are held.

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