ECB SPF

We keep score. We do not play. Survey holdings versus held Numbers where scored. No hit-rate %.

Survey expectations scoreboard.

Official forecast scoreboard hub · Methodology v0.1

Fewer than 20 expired scorable claims are held, so this page does not publish a hit rate.

32

Survey · Correct / missed / open counts. No hit-rate %.

Survey of Professional Forecasters consensus — held as typed survey outlooks, not scored against a staff forecast outcome.

0 correct 0 missed 32 open

By topic

  • US Interest Rates

    0 correct 0 missed 32 open

SCORING RECORD

Methodology v0.1 uses R1, R2, and R4. Full claim source URLs stay on this face.

data.ecb.europa.euOpen source

Read the scoring methodology · All officials

via TrackRecord

Claims

  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q2: euro-area longer-term HICP point-forecast average (Q.U2.HICP.POINT.LT.Q.AVG) is 2.03 percent. · target 2.03 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area longer-term HICP point-forecast average (Q.U2.HICP.POINT.LT.Q.AVG) is 2.04 percent. · target 2.04 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area HICP point-forecast average for calendar year 2026 (Q.U2.HICP.POINT.2026.Q.AVG) is 2.73 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.73 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area HICP point-forecast average for calendar year 2027 (Q.U2.HICP.POINT.2027.Q.AVG) is 2.17 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.17 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area HICP point-forecast average for calendar year 2028 (Q.U2.HICP.POINT.2028.Q.AVG) is 2.00 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.0 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area real GDP point-forecast average for calendar year 2026 (Q.U2.RGDP.POINT.2026.Q.AVG) is 0.57 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 0.57 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area real GDP point-forecast average for calendar year 2027 (Q.U2.RGDP.POINT.2027.Q.AVG) is 1.20 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 1.2 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area real GDP point-forecast average for calendar year 2028 (Q.U2.RGDP.POINT.2028.Q.AVG) is 1.30 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 1.3 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area longer-term real GDP point-forecast average (Q.U2.RGDP.POINT.LT.Q.AVG) is 1.23 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 1.23 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area unemployment-rate point-forecast average for calendar year 2026 (Q.U2.UNEM.POINT.2026.Q.AVG) is 6.30 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 6.3 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area unemployment-rate point-forecast average for calendar year 2027 (Q.U2.UNEM.POINT.2027.Q.AVG) is 6.26 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 6.26 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area unemployment-rate point-forecast average for calendar year 2028 (Q.U2.UNEM.POINT.2028.Q.AVG) is 6.17 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 6.17 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area longer-term unemployment-rate point-forecast average (Q.U2.UNEM.POINT.LT.Q.AVG) is 6.13 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 6.13 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area HICP excluding energy and food point-forecast average for calendar year 2026 (Q.U2.CORE.POINT.2026.Q.AVG) is 2.35 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.35 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area HICP excluding energy and food point-forecast average for calendar year 2027 (Q.U2.CORE.POINT.2027.Q.AVG) is 2.25 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.25 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area HICP excluding energy and food point-forecast average for calendar year 2028 (Q.U2.CORE.POINT.2028.Q.AVG) is 2.06 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.06 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area core HICP point-forecast average (calendar year 2026; Q.U2.CORE.POINT.2026.Q.AVG) is 2.35 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.35 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area core HICP point-forecast average (calendar year 2027; Q.U2.CORE.POINT.2027.Q.AVG) is 2.25 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.25 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area core HICP point-forecast average (calendar year 2028; Q.U2.CORE.POINT.2028.Q.AVG) is 2.06 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.06 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area core HICP point-forecast average (longer-term; Q.U2.CORE.POINT.LT.Q.AVG) is 2.03 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.03 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area HICP point-forecast average (calendar year 2026; Q.U2.HICP.POINT.2026.Q.AVG) is 2.73 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.73 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area HICP point-forecast average (calendar year 2027; Q.U2.HICP.POINT.2027.Q.AVG) is 2.17 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.17 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area HICP point-forecast average (calendar year 2028; Q.U2.HICP.POINT.2028.Q.AVG) is 2 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.0 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area HICP point-forecast average (longer-term; Q.U2.HICP.POINT.LT.Q.AVG) is 2.04 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 2.04 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area real GDP point-forecast average (calendar year 2026; Q.U2.RGDP.POINT.2026.Q.AVG) is 0.57 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 0.57 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area real GDP point-forecast average (calendar year 2027; Q.U2.RGDP.POINT.2027.Q.AVG) is 1.2 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 1.2 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area real GDP point-forecast average (calendar year 2028; Q.U2.RGDP.POINT.2028.Q.AVG) is 1.3 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 1.3 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area real GDP point-forecast average (longer-term; Q.U2.RGDP.POINT.LT.Q.AVG) is 1.23 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 1.23 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area unemployment rate point-forecast average (calendar year 2026; Q.U2.UNEM.POINT.2026.Q.AVG) is 6.3 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 6.3 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area unemployment rate point-forecast average (calendar year 2027; Q.U2.UNEM.POINT.2027.Q.AVG) is 6.26 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 6.26 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area unemployment rate point-forecast average (calendar year 2028; Q.U2.UNEM.POINT.2028.Q.AVG) is 6.17 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 6.17 · data.ecb.europa.eu
  • Open ECB SPF 2026-Q3: euro-area unemployment rate point-forecast average (longer-term; Q.U2.UNEM.POINT.LT.Q.AVG) is 6.13 percent. Source: ECB statistics. · target 6.13 · data.ecb.europa.eu