GACC / SCIO official narrative

We keep score. We do not play. Official forecasts versus held Numbers. No hit-rate %.

Official forecast scoreboard hub · Methodology v0.1

Fewer than 20 expired scorable claims are held, so this page does not publish a hit rate.

3

Correct / missed / open counts. No hit-rate %.

0 correct 0 missed 3 open

By topic

  • China dual track: official narrative vs partner customs

    0 correct 0 missed 3 open

SCORING RECORD

Methodology v0.1 uses R1, R2, and R4. Full claim source URLs stay on this face.

english.customs.gov.cnOpen source

Read the scoring methodology · All officials

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Claims

  • Open GACC preliminary (Jul 2026, USD): China Total Export is 3,978.5 (USD 100 Million), Year-on-Year +23.9 percent. · target 23.9 · english.customs.gov.cn
  • Open GACC preliminary (Jul 2026, USD): China Total Import is 2,853.5 (USD 100 Million), Year-on-Year +27.5 percent. · target 27.5 · english.customs.gov.cn
  • Open GACC preliminary (Jul 2026, USD): China Total Export & Import is 6,832.0 (USD 100 Million), Year-on-Year +25.3 percent. · target 25.3 · english.customs.gov.cn

What this is

A scorekeeper for official forecasts we already hold as Numbers: FOMC SEP, the previous CPI and payroll prints versus the realized prints, and EIA STEO versus EIA surveys. We keep score. We do not play.

What this is not

  • Not a news extractor, dual-model claim pipeline, or TrackRecord forecast.
  • Not analyst gold, WTI, or Bitcoin targets.
  • Not a hit-rate ranking when fewer than 20 expired scorable claims are held.

via TrackRecord

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