This week

FOMC day

FOMC SEP release desk. Year-end median federal funds versus held H.15 effective funds. Official SEP only — not CME FedWatch.

Next FOMC SEP release

Next listed release: . Last listed release before today: .

Not a scheduled release day. Showing the last held release summary and the next listed calendar date.

Official schedule: Federal Reserve FOMC calendars. Dates are computed from the held schedule table — not hard-coded into this sentence.

Last SEP release

FOMC SEP year-end median federal funds claims on this desk: 32 correct, 93 missed, 9 open as of . Latest held SEP median for year-end 2026: 3.4 percent (meeting ). Board H.15 effective federal funds: 3.63 percent as of . Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Summary of Economic Projections and H.15. Canonical: https://trackrecord.to/packs/fomc-day. Not a hit rate. Not CME FedWatch. Not a FOMC forecast published by TrackRecord.

SEP medians versus effective funds

SEP year-end median at each meeting date (not a daily official print). Chart window: earliest SEP meeting through latest held H.15. Weekly last held print for the chart; daily prints stay on the series card.

  1. · year-end 2026 SEP median 3.6 percent · Correct · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  2. · year-end 2027 SEP median 3.4 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  3. · year-end 2025 SEP median 3.6 percent · Correct · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()
  4. · year-end 2026 SEP median 3.4 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  5. · year-end 2027 SEP median 3.1 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  6. · year-end 2028 SEP median 3.1 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  7. · year-end 2025 SEP median 3.6 percent · Correct · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()
  8. · year-end 2026 SEP median 3.4 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  9. · year-end 2027 SEP median 3.1 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  10. · year-end 2028 SEP median 3.1 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
132 earlier SEP median rows
  1. · year-end 2015 SEP median 0.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.2 percent ()
  2. · year-end 2016 SEP median 1.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.55 percent ()
  3. · year-end 2017 SEP median 2.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.33 percent ()
  4. · year-end 2018 SEP median 3.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  5. · year-end 2015 SEP median 0.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.2 percent ()
  6. · year-end 2016 SEP median 1.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.55 percent ()
  7. · year-end 2017 SEP median 2.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.33 percent ()
  8. · year-end 2018 SEP median 3.3 percent · Missed · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  9. · year-end 2016 SEP median 0.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.55 percent ()
  10. · year-end 2017 SEP median 1.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.33 percent ()
  11. · year-end 2018 SEP median 3.0 percent · Missed · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  12. · year-end 2016 SEP median 0.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.55 percent ()
  13. · year-end 2017 SEP median 1.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.33 percent ()
  14. · year-end 2018 SEP median 2.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  15. · year-end 2016 SEP median 0.6 percent · Correct · December EFFR 0.55 percent ()
  16. · year-end 2017 SEP median 1.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.33 percent ()
  17. · year-end 2018 SEP median 1.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  18. · year-end 2019 SEP median 2.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  19. · year-end 2016 SEP median 0.6 percent · Correct · December EFFR 0.55 percent ()
  20. · year-end 2017 SEP median 1.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 1.33 percent ()
  21. · year-end 2018 SEP median 2.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  22. · year-end 2019 SEP median 2.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  23. · year-end 2017 SEP median 1.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 1.33 percent ()
  24. · year-end 2018 SEP median 2.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  25. · year-end 2019 SEP median 3.0 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  26. · year-end 2017 SEP median 1.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 1.33 percent ()
  27. · year-end 2018 SEP median 2.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  28. · year-end 2019 SEP median 2.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  29. · year-end 2017 SEP median 1.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 1.33 percent ()
  30. · year-end 2018 SEP median 2.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  31. · year-end 2019 SEP median 2.7 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  32. · year-end 2020 SEP median 2.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.09 percent ()
  33. · year-end 2017 SEP median 1.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 1.33 percent ()
  34. · year-end 2018 SEP median 2.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  35. · year-end 2019 SEP median 2.7 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  36. · year-end 2020 SEP median 3.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.09 percent ()
  37. · year-end 2018 SEP median 2.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  38. · year-end 2019 SEP median 2.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  39. · year-end 2020 SEP median 3.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.09 percent ()
  40. · year-end 2018 SEP median 2.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  41. · year-end 2019 SEP median 3.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  42. · year-end 2020 SEP median 3.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.09 percent ()
  43. · year-end 2018 SEP median 2.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  44. · year-end 2019 SEP median 3.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  45. · year-end 2020 SEP median 3.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.09 percent ()
  46. · year-end 2021 SEP median 3.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.07 percent ()
  47. · year-end 2018 SEP median 2.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 2.4 percent ()
  48. · year-end 2019 SEP median 2.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  49. · year-end 2020 SEP median 3.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.09 percent ()
  50. · year-end 2021 SEP median 3.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.07 percent ()
  51. · year-end 2019 SEP median 2.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  52. · year-end 2020 SEP median 2.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.09 percent ()
  53. · year-end 2021 SEP median 2.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.07 percent ()
  54. · year-end 2019 SEP median 2.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  55. · year-end 2020 SEP median 2.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.09 percent ()
  56. · year-end 2021 SEP median 2.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.07 percent ()
  57. · year-end 2019 SEP median 1.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  58. · year-end 2020 SEP median 1.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.09 percent ()
  59. · year-end 2021 SEP median 2.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.07 percent ()
  60. · year-end 2022 SEP median 2.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  61. · year-end 2019 SEP median 1.6 percent · Correct · December EFFR 1.55 percent ()
  62. · year-end 2020 SEP median 1.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.09 percent ()
  63. · year-end 2021 SEP median 1.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 0.07 percent ()
  64. · year-end 2022 SEP median 2.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  65. · year-end 2020 SEP median 0.1 percent · Correct · December EFFR 0.09 percent ()
  66. · year-end 2021 SEP median 0.1 percent · Correct · December EFFR 0.07 percent ()
  67. · year-end 2022 SEP median 0.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  68. · year-end 2020 SEP median 0.1 percent · Correct · December EFFR 0.09 percent ()
  69. · year-end 2021 SEP median 0.1 percent · Correct · December EFFR 0.07 percent ()
  70. · year-end 2022 SEP median 0.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  71. · year-end 2023 SEP median 0.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 5.33 percent ()
  72. · year-end 2020 SEP median 0.1 percent · Correct · December EFFR 0.09 percent ()
  73. · year-end 2021 SEP median 0.1 percent · Correct · December EFFR 0.07 percent ()
  74. · year-end 2022 SEP median 0.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  75. · year-end 2023 SEP median 0.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 5.33 percent ()
  76. · year-end 2021 SEP median 0.1 percent · Correct · December EFFR 0.07 percent ()
  77. · year-end 2022 SEP median 0.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  78. · year-end 2023 SEP median 0.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 5.33 percent ()
  79. · year-end 2021 SEP median 0.1 percent · Correct · December EFFR 0.07 percent ()
  80. · year-end 2022 SEP median 0.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  81. · year-end 2023 SEP median 0.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 5.33 percent ()
  82. · year-end 2021 SEP median 0.1 percent · Correct · December EFFR 0.07 percent ()
  83. · year-end 2022 SEP median 0.3 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  84. · year-end 2023 SEP median 1.0 percent · Missed · December EFFR 5.33 percent ()
  85. · year-end 2024 SEP median 1.8 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  86. · year-end 2021 SEP median 0.1 percent · Correct · December EFFR 0.07 percent ()
  87. · year-end 2022 SEP median 0.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  88. · year-end 2023 SEP median 1.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 5.33 percent ()
  89. · year-end 2024 SEP median 2.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  90. · year-end 2022 SEP median 3.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  91. · year-end 2023 SEP median 3.8 percent · Missed · December EFFR 5.33 percent ()
  92. · year-end 2024 SEP median 3.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  93. · year-end 2022 SEP median 4.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  94. · year-end 2023 SEP median 4.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 5.33 percent ()
  95. · year-end 2024 SEP median 3.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  96. · year-end 2025 SEP median 2.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()
  97. · year-end 2022 SEP median 4.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  98. · year-end 2023 SEP median 5.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 5.33 percent ()
  99. · year-end 2024 SEP median 4.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  100. · year-end 2025 SEP median 3.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()
  101. · year-end 2023 SEP median 5.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 5.33 percent ()
  102. · year-end 2024 SEP median 4.3 percent · Correct · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  103. · year-end 2025 SEP median 3.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()
  104. · year-end 2023 SEP median 5.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 5.33 percent ()
  105. · year-end 2024 SEP median 4.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  106. · year-end 2025 SEP median 3.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()
  107. · year-end 2023 SEP median 5.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 5.33 percent ()
  108. · year-end 2024 SEP median 5.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  109. · year-end 2025 SEP median 3.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()
  110. · year-end 2026 SEP median 2.9 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  111. · year-end 2023 SEP median 5.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 5.33 percent ()
  112. · year-end 2024 SEP median 4.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  113. · year-end 2025 SEP median 3.6 percent · Correct · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()
  114. · year-end 2026 SEP median 2.9 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  115. · year-end 2024 SEP median 4.6 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  116. · year-end 2025 SEP median 3.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()
  117. · year-end 2026 SEP median 3.1 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  118. · year-end 2024 SEP median 5.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  119. · year-end 2025 SEP median 4.1 percent · Missed · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()
  120. · year-end 2026 SEP median 3.1 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  121. · year-end 2024 SEP median 4.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  122. · year-end 2025 SEP median 3.4 percent · Missed · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()
  123. · year-end 2026 SEP median 2.9 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  124. · year-end 2027 SEP median 2.9 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  125. · year-end 2024 SEP median 4.4 percent · Correct · December EFFR 4.33 percent ()
  126. · year-end 2025 SEP median 3.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()
  127. · year-end 2026 SEP median 3.4 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  128. · year-end 2027 SEP median 3.1 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  129. · year-end 2025 SEP median 3.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()
  130. · year-end 2026 SEP median 3.4 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  131. · year-end 2027 SEP median 3.1 percent · Open · December EFFR 3.63 percent ()
  132. · year-end 2025 SEP median 3.9 percent · Missed · December EFFR 3.64 percent ()

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Summary of Economic Projections and H.15 · as of · Verify observation · Verify evidence

Full scoreboard view: SEP versus effective funds.

SEP medians versus December outcome

Official SEP year-end median federal funds versus held H.15 December print when available. Correct / missed / open counts. Not a hit rate. Not FedWatch.

Full scoreboard view: SEP versus effective funds.

142 SEP median rows
Meeting Horizon SEP median December as-of EFFR Result
year-end 2015 0.4 percent 0.2 percent Missed
year-end 2016 1.4 percent 0.55 percent Missed
year-end 2017 2.6 percent 1.33 percent Missed
year-end 2018 3.4 percent 2.4 percent Missed
year-end 2015 0.4 percent 0.2 percent Missed
year-end 2016 1.4 percent 0.55 percent Missed
year-end 2017 2.4 percent 1.33 percent Missed
year-end 2018 3.3 percent 2.4 percent Missed
year-end 2016 0.9 percent 0.55 percent Missed
year-end 2017 1.9 percent 1.33 percent Missed
year-end 2018 3.0 percent 2.4 percent Missed
year-end 2016 0.9 percent 0.55 percent Missed
year-end 2017 1.6 percent 1.33 percent Missed
year-end 2018 2.4 percent 2.4 percent Correct
year-end 2016 0.6 percent 0.55 percent Correct
year-end 2017 1.1 percent 1.33 percent Missed
year-end 2018 1.9 percent 2.4 percent Missed
year-end 2019 2.6 percent 1.55 percent Missed
year-end 2016 0.6 percent 0.55 percent Correct
year-end 2017 1.4 percent 1.33 percent Correct
year-end 2018 2.1 percent 2.4 percent Missed
year-end 2019 2.9 percent 1.55 percent Missed
year-end 2017 1.4 percent 1.33 percent Correct
year-end 2018 2.1 percent 2.4 percent Missed
year-end 2019 3.0 percent 1.55 percent Missed
year-end 2017 1.4 percent 1.33 percent Correct
year-end 2018 2.1 percent 2.4 percent Missed
year-end 2019 2.9 percent 1.55 percent Missed
year-end 2017 1.4 percent 1.33 percent Correct
year-end 2018 2.1 percent 2.4 percent Missed
year-end 2019 2.7 percent 1.55 percent Missed
year-end 2020 2.9 percent 0.09 percent Missed
year-end 2017 1.4 percent 1.33 percent Correct
year-end 2018 2.1 percent 2.4 percent Missed
year-end 2019 2.7 percent 1.55 percent Missed
year-end 2020 3.1 percent 0.09 percent Missed
year-end 2018 2.1 percent 2.4 percent Missed
year-end 2019 2.9 percent 1.55 percent Missed
year-end 2020 3.4 percent 0.09 percent Missed
year-end 2018 2.4 percent 2.4 percent Correct
year-end 2019 3.1 percent 1.55 percent Missed
year-end 2020 3.4 percent 0.09 percent Missed
year-end 2018 2.4 percent 2.4 percent Correct
year-end 2019 3.1 percent 1.55 percent Missed
year-end 2020 3.4 percent 0.09 percent Missed
year-end 2021 3.4 percent 0.07 percent Missed
year-end 2018 2.4 percent 2.4 percent Correct
year-end 2019 2.9 percent 1.55 percent Missed
year-end 2020 3.1 percent 0.09 percent Missed
year-end 2021 3.1 percent 0.07 percent Missed
year-end 2019 2.4 percent 1.55 percent Missed
year-end 2020 2.6 percent 0.09 percent Missed
year-end 2021 2.6 percent 0.07 percent Missed
year-end 2019 2.4 percent 1.55 percent Missed
year-end 2020 2.1 percent 0.09 percent Missed
year-end 2021 2.4 percent 0.07 percent Missed
year-end 2019 1.9 percent 1.55 percent Missed
year-end 2020 1.9 percent 0.09 percent Missed
year-end 2021 2.1 percent 0.07 percent Missed
year-end 2022 2.4 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2019 1.6 percent 1.55 percent Correct
year-end 2020 1.6 percent 0.09 percent Missed
year-end 2021 1.9 percent 0.07 percent Missed
year-end 2022 2.1 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2020 0.1 percent 0.09 percent Correct
year-end 2021 0.1 percent 0.07 percent Correct
year-end 2022 0.1 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2020 0.1 percent 0.09 percent Correct
year-end 2021 0.1 percent 0.07 percent Correct
year-end 2022 0.1 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2023 0.1 percent 5.33 percent Missed
year-end 2020 0.1 percent 0.09 percent Correct
year-end 2021 0.1 percent 0.07 percent Correct
year-end 2022 0.1 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2023 0.1 percent 5.33 percent Missed
year-end 2021 0.1 percent 0.07 percent Correct
year-end 2022 0.1 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2023 0.1 percent 5.33 percent Missed
year-end 2021 0.1 percent 0.07 percent Correct
year-end 2022 0.1 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2023 0.6 percent 5.33 percent Missed
year-end 2021 0.1 percent 0.07 percent Correct
year-end 2022 0.3 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2023 1.0 percent 5.33 percent Missed
year-end 2024 1.8 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2021 0.1 percent 0.07 percent Correct
year-end 2022 0.9 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2023 1.6 percent 5.33 percent Missed
year-end 2024 2.1 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2022 3.4 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2023 3.8 percent 5.33 percent Missed
year-end 2024 3.4 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2022 4.4 percent 4.33 percent Correct
year-end 2023 4.6 percent 5.33 percent Missed
year-end 2024 3.9 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2025 2.9 percent 3.64 percent Missed
year-end 2022 4.4 percent 4.33 percent Correct
year-end 2023 5.1 percent 5.33 percent Missed
year-end 2024 4.1 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2025 3.1 percent 3.64 percent Missed
year-end 2023 5.1 percent 5.33 percent Missed
year-end 2024 4.3 percent 4.33 percent Correct
year-end 2025 3.1 percent 3.64 percent Missed
year-end 2023 5.6 percent 5.33 percent Missed
year-end 2024 4.6 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2025 3.4 percent 3.64 percent Missed
year-end 2023 5.6 percent 5.33 percent Missed
year-end 2024 5.1 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2025 3.9 percent 3.64 percent Missed
year-end 2026 2.9 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2023 5.4 percent 5.33 percent Correct
year-end 2024 4.6 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2025 3.6 percent 3.64 percent Correct
year-end 2026 2.9 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2024 4.6 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2025 3.9 percent 3.64 percent Missed
year-end 2026 3.1 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2024 5.1 percent 4.33 percent Missed
year-end 2025 4.1 percent 3.64 percent Missed
year-end 2026 3.1 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2024 4.4 percent 4.33 percent Correct
year-end 2025 3.4 percent 3.64 percent Missed
year-end 2026 2.9 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2027 2.9 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2024 4.4 percent 4.33 percent Correct
year-end 2025 3.9 percent 3.64 percent Missed
year-end 2026 3.4 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2027 3.1 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2025 3.9 percent 3.64 percent Missed
year-end 2026 3.4 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2027 3.1 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2025 3.9 percent 3.64 percent Missed
year-end 2026 3.6 percent 3.63 percent Correct
year-end 2027 3.4 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2025 3.6 percent 3.64 percent Correct
year-end 2026 3.4 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2027 3.1 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2028 3.1 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2025 3.6 percent 3.64 percent Correct
year-end 2026 3.4 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2027 3.1 percent 3.63 percent Open
year-end 2028 3.1 percent 3.63 percent Open

Data atoms

Permanent observation URLs and official claim sources. Computed facts and citations only.

  1. H.15 effective federal funds as of 2026-08-24 · Series card · Verify
  2. Correct · year-end 2016 median 0.6% · · Official source
  3. Missed · year-end 2017 median 1.1% · · Official source
  4. Missed · year-end 2018 median 1.9% · · Official source
  5. Missed · year-end 2019 median 2.6% · · Official source
  6. Correct · year-end 2016 median 0.6% · · Official source
  7. Correct · year-end 2017 median 1.4% · · Official source
  8. Missed · year-end 2018 median 2.1% · · Official source
  9. Missed · year-end 2019 median 2.9% · · Official source
  10. Correct · year-end 2017 median 1.4% · · Official source
  11. Missed · year-end 2018 median 2.1% · · Official source
14 earlier atoms
  1. Missed · year-end 2015 median 0.4% · · Official source
  2. Missed · year-end 2016 median 1.4% · · Official source
  3. Missed · year-end 2017 median 2.6% · · Official source
  4. Missed · year-end 2018 median 3.4% · · Official source
  5. Missed · year-end 2015 median 0.4% · · Official source
  6. Missed · year-end 2016 median 1.4% · · Official source
  7. Missed · year-end 2017 median 2.4% · · Official source
  8. Missed · year-end 2018 median 3.3% · · Official source
  9. Missed · year-end 2016 median 0.9% · · Official source
  10. Missed · year-end 2017 median 1.9% · · Official source
  11. Missed · year-end 2018 median 3.0% · · Official source
  12. Missed · year-end 2016 median 0.9% · · Official source
  13. Missed · year-end 2017 median 1.6% · · Official source
  14. Correct · year-end 2018 median 2.4% · · Official source

Cite and embed

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FOMC SEP year-end 2026 median federal funds 3.4% (meeting 2025-12-10); H.15 effective federal funds 3.63% as of 2026-08-24. Not FedWatch. via TrackRecord.
FOMC SEP year-end 2026 median federal funds 3.4% (meeting 2025-12-10); H.15 effective federal funds 3.63% as of 2026-08-24. Not FedWatch. via TrackRecord.
https://trackrecord.to/packs/fomc-day

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