Bank for International Settlements · WS_CBPOL

US policy rate

Name: US policy rate
Creator: Bank for International Settlements, Central bank policy rates

Official prints on this topic. Open a card for the chart, cite tools, and history.

US policy rate — not FedWatch.

US policy rate
Updated today · as of 2026-07-01

3.63%

Source: Bank for International Settlements, Central bank policy rates

Provenance

SourceBank for International Settlements, Central bank policy rates

FrequencyMonthly

Retrieved2026-08-26T08:03:59.238Z

ValidationHeld observation on TrackRecord

Official URLOpen source

CSV JSON

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What this is

The US central bank policy rate from the Bank for International Settlements WS_CBPOL data set (monthly end-of-period, REF_AREA US).

What this is not

Not CME FedWatch or a market-implied path.
Not a FRED series. TrackRecord reads the BIS SDMX API directly.
Not the us-policy elections topic, and not investment advice.

Official forecasts

Correct / missed / open counts by official. No hit-rate %. Methodology · Full scoreboard.

Official forecast versus realized rows appear when held.

SCORING RECORD

Methodology v0.1 uses R1, R2, and R4. Flip back here for official claim URLs.

Read the scoring methodology · Full scoreboard

Source: Bank for International Settlements, Central bank policy rates. As of 2026-07-01. Retrieved 2026-08-26. Not endorsed by the Bank for International Settlements. BIS figures stay on the free layer.

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