Federal Housing Finance Agency, House Price Index

US housing (official producers)

Official prints on this topic. Open a card for the chart, cite tools, and history.

What this is

US house-price and housing activity from official producers: FHFA HPI® purchase-only seasonally-adjusted national index, BIS Selected residential property prices (WS_SPP) for the United States, and Census EITS housing starts / new home sales when a Census API key is configured. As-of is the first day of the reference month or quarter.

What this is not

  • Not S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller (never).
  • Not a FRED series. TrackRecord reads FHFA, BIS, and Census directly.
  • Not a claim that FHFA and BIS cross-validate each other — different methodologies, shown as single-source companions.
  • Not investment advice.

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Official forecasts

Correct / missed / open counts by official. No hit-rate %. Methodology · Full scoreboard.

Official forecast versus realized rows appear when held.

SCORING RECORD

Methodology v0.1 uses R1, R2, and R4. Flip back here for official claim URLs.

Read the scoring methodology · Full scoreboard

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